Firehand shares that information with us…
Who’s actually committing the murders? A very small number
of people with particular connections.
No, our new focus isn’t on neighborhoods like Alton Park or East Chattanooga but instead on “hot” places” and “hot” people. In an article entitled, “The Story Behind the Nation’s Falling Body Count,” Kennedy writes, “Research on hot spots shows violence to be concentrated in ‘micro’ places, rather than ‘dangerous neighborhoods,’ as the popular idea goes. Blocks, corners, and buildings representing just five or six percent of an entire city will drive half of its serious crime.”
The same is true about people. “We now know that homicide and gun violence are overwhelmingly concentrated among serious offenders operating in groups: gangs, drug crews, and the like representing under half of one percent of a city’s population who commit half to three-quarters of all murders.”
Kennedy writes, “We also know some reliable predictors of risk: individuals who have a history of violence or a close connection with prior victims are far more likely to be involved in violence themselves. Hot groups and people are so hot that when their offending is statistically abstracted, their neighborhoods cease to be dangerous. Their communities aren’t dangerous; (these criminals) are.”
What’ve we been saying for years? ‘Stop worrying about objects and worry about the people who commit the crimes.’ Which seems to cover it nicely. Will the hoplophobes and bigots listen? Mostly no.
When someone bombs someone, do we blame the bomb? No, we blame the bomber. But guns are objects of scorn and derision, I suspect largely because of their portability and concealability.
And the people who commit crimes with guns are a very small minority of those possessing them.